Ajax vs Excelsior Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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A quality mismatch? Ajax (5th, 56 pts) entertain Excelsior (13th, 38 pts). The table positions tell a clear story, but football has a habit of humbling the favourites.
O. Gloukh has been Ajax's spearhead, with 4 goals and 0 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 1.40 shots on target per game. Whoever leads Excelsior's line will have a job on against that profile.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Ajax come in on a W-D-W-D-W run, Excelsior have gone W-D-L-W-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Excelsior have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
Ajax average 1.8 goals per game and Excelsior manage 1.3. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Ajax are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.2 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Excelsior, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Ajax have won 6, Excelsior 1, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 5.1 goals per game. 10 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Excelsior 2-2 Ajax, Ajax 1-2 Excelsior, Ajax 2-2 Excelsior.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Ajax Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Excelsior Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Ajax vs Excelsior kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 in the Eredivisie.