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Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.
| Market | Our model | Bookies imply | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wycombe Wanderers Win | 43.7% | 36.4% | 7 pts over |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52.3% | 57.1% | 5 pts under |
What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.
Blackpool know what's at stake, and so do Wycombe Wanderers.
A League One fixture between Blackpool and Wycombe Wanderers. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Blackpool will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Wycombe Wanderers travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Marginal call: Wycombe Wanderers at just 44%. With the draw at 26%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Wycombe Wanderers, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.
Our model spots value here: Wycombe Wanderers to win at @2.80 (our model: 44%, bookmakers imply: 36%). A 8% edge over the market.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Blackpool are scoring 1.2 a game (1.2 of those at home) and Wycombe Wanderers manage 1.7 (1.7 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line.
Both teams score in 52% of Blackpool's home games and 57% of Wycombe Wanderers's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Blackpool do it the hard way: only 1.2 a game up top, but a mean 0.3 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Blackpool Win | @2.30 | 40.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.25 | 25.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Wycombe Wanderers Win | @2.80 | 43.7% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.85 | 52.3% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.85 | 47.7% | William Hill |
Our model makes Wycombe Wanderers the favourite with a 43.7% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.
Best available odds: Blackpool @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.25, Wycombe Wanderers @ 2.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Blackpool vs Wycombe Wanderers kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 in the League One.
Our top prediction is Wycombe Wanderers to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.