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The key duel: AIK's attack against Örgryte IS's back line.
Örgryte IS welcome AIK in the Allsvenskan. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Örgryte IS will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while AIK travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.58. Model probability 61% vs implied 63%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
AIK have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Örgryte IS average 1.1 goals per game and AIK manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 61% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Örgryte IS Win | @2.75 | 27.3% | Sky Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.50 | 23.5% | Sky Bet |
| Match Result | AIK Win | @2.10 | 47.2% | Sky Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.58 | 61.0% | Matchbook |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.30 | 39.0% | Matchbook |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes AIK the favourite with a 47.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Örgryte IS @ 2.75, Draw @ 3.50, AIK @ 2.10. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Örgryte IS vs AIK kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 14:00 in the Allsvenskan.