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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
IK Sirius arrive as the price says they should win. The question is how comfortably.
IK Sirius take on IF Brommapojkarna in the Allsvenskan. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
M. Hansen has been IF Brommapojkarna's main threat, with 4 goals and 5 assists in 12 appearances, averaging 0.67 shots on target per game.
Our PickIK Sirius to win at @1.30. Model probability 68% vs implied 77%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
This league is new to our model. We have not yet built a verified record here, so treat this as an early read while we track it.
One thing to keep in mind about IK Sirius. They're scoring 2.9 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 2.3. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.3), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play. IK Sirius have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.6 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 2.3. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
IK Sirius create chances worth 2.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +1.1 a game on the balance. IF Brommapojkarna create 1.0 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour IK Sirius. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. IK Sirius are scoring 2.9 goals a game off chances worth just 2.3. That's +0.3 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off. IK Sirius are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.6 a game over the last 5 vs 2.3 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Goals look likely here. IK Sirius average 2.9 per game (2.9 at home) and IF Brommapojkarna chip in with 1.3 (1.3 away). Defensively, IK Sirius concede 1.2 at home and IF Brommapojkarna leak 1.1 on the road. We make it 68% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. IK Sirius create chances worth 2.3 a game and IF Brommapojkarna 1.0. Combined, that's 3.3 a game from open play alone.
IK Sirius are all-out attack: 2.9 goals a game, but they leak 1.2 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at IF Brommapojkarna, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | IK Sirius Win | @1.30 | 68.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @5.00 | 16.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | IF Brommapojkarna Win | @8.00 | 13.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.36 | 68.3% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.90 | 31.7% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
The bookmakers make IK Sirius the favourite here. This league is new to our model, so we show the odds and an early read rather than a rated pick until we have built a verified record.
Best available odds: IK Sirius @ 1.30, Draw @ 5.00, IF Brommapojkarna @ 8.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
IK Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 18:00 in the Allsvenskan.