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Rapid Vienna 53%, the draw 25%, Heart of Midlothian 22%. That's the shape of this one.
Rapid Vienna are unbeaten in their last six; Heart of Midlothian have taken 7 points from their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Europa Conference League tie.
Rapid Vienna's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Rapid Vienna are scoring 1.4 a game (1.3 of those at home) and Heart of Midlothian manage 2.0 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 55%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
Rapid Vienna need points desperately. Sitting 36th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
Heart of Midlothian have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.1 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Rapid Vienna Win | @1.76 | 52.8% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.82 | 25.4% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Heart of Midlothian Win | @4.72 | 21.8% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.65 | 50.5% | Betano |
| BTTS | No | @2.12 | 49.5% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.70 | 54.8% | Betano |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.12 | 45.2% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.23 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.90 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.62 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.45 | - | Betano |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Limited recent meetings (1), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Full Rapid Vienna vs Heart of Midlothian head-to-head history →
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite with a 52.8% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Rapid Vienna @ 1.76, Draw @ 3.82, Heart of Midlothian @ 4.72. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Rapid Vienna vs Heart of Midlothian kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 17:45 in the Europa Conference League.