Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
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Over 10.5 Match Corners
51% (model)
Corners: PEC Zwolle avg 4.3 for/7.3 against, NEC Nijmegen avg 7.8 for/2.2 against → expected 10.8 match corners
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Over 2.5 Match Cards
56% (model)
Cards: PEC Zwolle avg 1.3/game, NEC Nijmegen avg 1.6/game → expected 2.9 match cards
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls
53% (model)
Fouls: PEC Zwolle avg 12.3/game, NEC Nijmegen avg 12.8/game → expected 25.1 match fouls
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Over 26.5 Match Shots
90% (model)
Shots: PEC Zwolle avg 12.7/game, NEC Nijmegen avg 21.3/game → expected 33.9 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Can NEC Nijmegen Get the Job Done at PEC Zwolle?
PEC Zwolle 18%, the draw 24%, NEC Nijmegen 57%. That's the shape of this one.
Tricky away day for NEC Nijmegen (3rd, 59 pts) as they travel to PEC Zwolle (15th, 37 pts), but the visitors' league position tells you they should have more than enough here.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickNEC Nijmegen to win at @1.75. Model probability 57% vs implied 57%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
⚖
Quality Gap
NEC Nijmegen's GD of +24 dwarfs PEC Zwolle's -27. The visitors are a level above
📉
Home Wobble
PEC Zwolle arrive off 4 straight defeats. The home crowd will need something early
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 100% of NEC Nijmegen's matches this season
▸ Form & goals
Neither side arrives in vintage form. PEC Zwolle have gone L-L-L-L-W, NEC Nijmegen's W-L-W-L-D reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve.
Goals look likely here. PEC Zwolle average 1.3 per game (1.2 at home) and NEC Nijmegen chip in with 2.3 (2.1 away). Defensively, PEC Zwolle concede 1.2 at home and NEC Nijmegen leak 1.6 on the road. We make it 66% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 58%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.0 goals when they meet, with 5 of the last 10 producing three or more.
▸ Team news & context
NEC Nijmegen have goals in them (2.3 per game) but their record at the back (1.6 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: PEC Zwolle have won 1, NEC Nijmegen 6, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: NEC Nijmegen 2-1 PEC Zwolle, PEC Zwolle 2-2 NEC Nijmegen, PEC Zwolle 0-1 NEC Nijmegen.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
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PEC Zwolle HT
4.33
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Draw HT
2.50
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NEC Nijmegen HT
2.25
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
PEC Zwolle Win |
@4.00
|
17.8% |
Bet365 |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.90
|
23.5% |
Bet365 |
| Match Result |
NEC Nijmegen Win |
@1.75
|
56.7% |
Bet365 |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.50
|
57.6% |
Bet365 |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.66
|
42.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.44
|
65.5% |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.60
|
34.5% |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.14
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@5.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.71
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Team Stats
PEC Zwolle
Position
15
Played
34
Record
9W-10D-15L
Goals F/A
44/71
Avg Goals Scored
1.30
Points
37
Overall Form
LLLLW
Home Form
LLW
Home Record
8W-4D-5L
NEC Nijmegen
Position
3
Played
34
Record
16W-11D-7L
Goals F/A
77/53
Avg Goals Scored
2.30
Points
59
Overall Form
WLWLD
Away Form
WLD
Away Record
7W-6D-4L
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Head to Head
1 Home Wins
3 Draws
6 Away Wins
3.0
Avg Goals
6/10
BTTS
5/10
Over 2.5
2026-01-24
PEC Zwolle 1-2 NEC Nijmegen
2025-10-25
PEC Zwolle 2-2 NEC Nijmegen
2025-01-11
PEC Zwolle 0-1 NEC Nijmegen
2024-10-29
PEC Zwolle 3-4 NEC Nijmegen
2024-08-24
PEC Zwolle 0-1 NEC Nijmegen
2024-04-14
PEC Zwolle 2-2 NEC Nijmegen
2023-12-09
PEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC Nijmegen
2022-02-05
PEC Zwolle 1-1 NEC Nijmegen
2021-08-20
PEC Zwolle 0-2 NEC Nijmegen
2017-12-19
PEC Zwolle 2-0 NEC Nijmegen
Full PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-3
4.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-4
2.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 10 priced markets
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Over 0.5 first half goals
83%
@1.20
1xBet
-
NEC Nijmegen or Draw (double chance)
81%
@1.24
1xBet
-
Under 4.5 goals
80%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Under 4.5 goals
80%
@1.25
Bet365
-
PEC Zwolle or NEC Nijmegen (double chance)
80%
@1.25
1xBet
-
PEC Zwolle over 0.5 goals
77%
@1.30
1xBet
-
Over 2.5 goals
69%
@1.44
1xBet
-
PEC Zwolle under 1.5 goals
69%
@1.44
1xBet
-
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 goals
69%
@1.44
1xBet
-
Both teams to score: Yes
69%
@1.50
Bet365
Build a slip from these markets →