Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
A test of nerve as much as quality when Toronto FC welcome New England Revolution.
A MLS fixture between Toronto FC and New England Revolution. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Toronto FC will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while New England Revolution travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Toronto FC come in on a D-L-D-D-L run, New England Revolution have gone D-W-D-L-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Toronto FC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Toronto FC create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. New England Revolution create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Toronto FC average 1.1 goals per game and New England Revolution manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Toronto FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.