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Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Three points on the line and a story to write. Degerfors IF host IFK Goteborg.
Degerfors IF (13th, 30 pts) face the unenviable task of hosting in-form IFK Goteborg (4th, 51 pts). The gap in quality should tell, but home advantage can be a great leveller.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Degerfors IF will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while IFK Goteborg travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Neither side arrives in vintage form. Degerfors IF have gone L-L-L-L-L, IFK Goteborg's W-L-W-L-L reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve. IFK Goteborg are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.9 against 1.4 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Degerfors IF create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. IFK Goteborg create 1.9 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of +0.4. On the quality of chances, IFK Goteborg look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. IFK Goteborg are creating chances worth 1.9 a game but only finishing 1.4. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Degerfors IF average 1.1 goals per game and IFK Goteborg manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Degerfors IF and IFK Goteborg together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Degerfors IF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | IFK Goteborg Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:00 in the Allsvenskan.