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Form, fitness, fine margins. IF Brommapojkarna and Orgryte IS meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
A Allsvenskan fixture between IF Brommapojkarna and Orgryte IS. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
M. Hansen has been IF Brommapojkarna's spearhead, with 4 goals and 5 assists in 12 appearances, averaging 0.67 shots on target per game. N. Christoffersson has been Orgryte IS's main threat, with 4 goals and 0 assists in 13 appearances, averaging 0.77 shots on target per game.
IF Brommapojkarna will be looking to make home advantage count (W4 D0 L11 at home). Orgryte IS's away record reads W0 D1 L0. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Orgryte IS could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.5 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.2. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
IF Brommapojkarna create chances worth 1.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Orgryte IS create 1.2 (giving up 2.6) for a balance of -1.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour IF Brommapojkarna. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Orgryte IS are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.5 goals vs chance quality of 1.2). Both runs could cool off at once.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. IF Brommapojkarna average 1.3 goals per game and Orgryte IS manage 1.5. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | IF Brommapojkarna Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Orgryte IS Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:00 in the Allsvenskan.