01The read
Analysing Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch: Who Wins?
Carlisle 52%, the draw 23%, AFC Hornchurch 25%. That's the shape of this one.
The bookmakers open Carlisle at @1.57 for this National League tie, with AFC Hornchurch out at @4.75.
Key facts
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 60% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
The goals side is finely balanced. We make it 60% for three or more. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Carlisle HT
2.05
-
Draw HT
2.40
-
AFC Hornchurch HT
4.80
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Carlisle Win |
@1.57
|
51.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.80
|
23.4% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
AFC Hornchurch Win |
@4.75
|
24.8% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.62
|
51.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.15
|
48.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.65
|
59.6% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.40
|
40.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@5.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.62
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 8 priced markets
-
Under 4 goals
84%
@1.19
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
82%
@1.28
Betano
-
Over 2 goals
81%
@1.29
BetVictor
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
80%
@1.33
Betano
-
Over 1 second half goals
78%
@1.28
Marathon Bet
-
AFC Hornchurch under 1.5 goals
78%
@1.33
Betano
-
Carlisle under 2.5 goals
74%
@1.40
Bet365
-
AFC Hornchurch over 0.5 goals
70%
@1.50
Bet365
Build a slip from these markets →