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41% against 43%: the model can barely split Kidderminster Harriers and Aldershot Town.
The bookmakers open Kidderminster Harriers at @2.10 for this National League tie, with Aldershot Town out at @3.20.
The goals side is finely balanced. We make it 58% for three or more. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 55%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Kidderminster Harriers Win | @2.10 | 40.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.30 | 24.8% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Aldershot Town Win | @3.20 | 42.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.57 | 54.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.30 | 45.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.67 | 58.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.15 | 41.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.20 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.62 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.44 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Aldershot Town the favourite with a 42.8% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Kidderminster Harriers @ 2.10, Draw @ 3.30, Aldershot Town @ 3.20. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Aldershot Town kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 in the National League.