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Al Kholood 25%, the draw 27%, Al Taawon 46%. That's the shape of this one.
Al Kholood (14th, 33 pts) face the unenviable task of hosting in-form Al Taawon (6th, 53 pts). The gap in quality should tell, but home advantage can be a great leveller.
Al Kholood will be looking to make home advantage count (W3 D4 L10 at home). Al Taawon's away record reads W8 D3 L6. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Al Kholood are scoring 1.1 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Al Taawon manage 1.7 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 53%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
In the last 4 meetings: Al Kholood have won 1, Al Taawon 2, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 1 of the last 4 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Al Taawon 1-2 Al Kholood, Al Kholood 0-2 Al Taawon, Al Kholood 0-2 Al Taawon.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Al Kholood Win | @2.80 | 25.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.25 | 26.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Al Taawon Win | @2.15 | 46.3% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.62 | 52.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.10 | 47.9% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.80 | 53.4% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.05 | 46.6% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.10 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.42 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Combined 3.28 · £5 returns £16.42
Our model makes Al Taawon the favourite with a 46.3% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Al Kholood @ 2.80, Draw @ 3.25, Al Taawon @ 2.15. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:10 in the Saudi Pro League.