Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Bet Builder Tip
⚙️ A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
Our Model's Picks
Live bookie odds · verified record coming soonOur 2-Leg Bet Builder
Combined probability: 43.8% · Combined fair odds: 2.29
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Palmeiras to win
API-Football model rates this 50% (advice: Winner : Palmeiras).
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Over 2.5 Goals
API-Football goals model: expected goals 3.50 + 1.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 88%.
Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama, 43.8% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.
We are tracking this market and will publish its verified record once we have the data. Informational for now, built from live bookmaker odds.
More to Build With
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Maurício PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 70%
Maurício averages 0.72 SoT/match (18 apps) [WC form: 2.73/90 over 2 games (99 min), 19% weight → 1.10], home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.22, P(1+)=70% P(2+)=34%
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A. Gómez Vasco da GamaShots on Target 1+ 59%
A. Gómez averages 1.00 SoT/match (18 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.90, P(1+)=59% P(2+)=23%
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J. López PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 57%
J. López averages 0.78 SoT/match (18 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.86, P(1+)=57% P(2+)=21%
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J. Arias PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 56%
J. Arias averages 0.75 SoT/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.83, P(1+)=56% P(2+)=20%
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Allan PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 52%
Allan averages 0.67 SoT/match (18 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.73, P(1+)=52% P(2+)=17%
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Cuiabano Vasco da GamaShots on Target 1+ 46%
Cuiabano averages 0.69 SoT/match (13 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.62, P(1+)=46% P(2+)=13%
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J. Rodríguez Vasco da GamaShots on Target 1+ 40%
J. Rodríguez averages 0.57 SoT/match (14 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.51, P(1+)=40% P(2+)=9%
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R. Sosa PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 36%
R. Sosa averages 0.41 SoT/match (17 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.45, P(1+)=36% P(2+)=8%
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Andreas Pereira PalmeirasAnytime Assist 36%
Andreas Pereira on 0.45 assists/match (20 apps, 42 key passes), match xG 2.60 → lambda 0.45, P(assist)=36%
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Maurício PalmeirasAnytime Scorer 36%
Maurício on 0.22 goals/match (18 apps) [WC form: 0.91/90 over 2 games (99 min), 19% weight → 0.35], home vs opp conceding 1.60 goals/game → lambda 0.44, P(anytime scorer)=36%
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats
Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
- Over 9.5 Match Corners, 42% Corners: Palmeiras avg 4.7 for/4.0 against, Vasco da Gama avg 5.5 for/4.0 against → expected 9.1 match corners
- Over 3.5 Match Cards, 57% Cards: Palmeiras avg 2.0/game, Vasco da Gama avg 2.0/game → expected 4.0 match cards
- Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 70% Fouls: Palmeiras avg 13.7/game, Vasco da Gama avg 13.8/game → expected 27.4 match fouls
- Over 26.5 Match Shots, 88% Shots: Palmeiras avg 16.0/game, Vasco da Gama avg 17.3/game → expected 33.3 match shots
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.
View our full verified track record → | Full match preview →