Casa Pia vs Benfica Bet Builder Tip
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
Our Model's Picks
Live bookie odds · verified record coming soonOur 2-Leg Bet Builder
55.9% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail
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Benfica
≈1.433rd visits 16th. Adjusted from 74% (odds imply) to 68% based on historical data
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Over 1.5 Goals
≈1.25Avg 2.7 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.
Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Casa Pia vs Benfica, 55.9% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.
Alternative Picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 77.7% @1.21
- Benfica First Half 62.3% @1.61
- Under 3.5 Goals 62.3% @1.48
- Yes BTTS 51.0% @2.18
More to Build With
Extra markets · not trackedMatch Stats
Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
- Over 11.5 Match Corners, 48% Corners: Casa Pia avg 4.0 for/5.8 against, Benfica avg 11.0 for/2.3 against → expected 11.5 match corners
- Over 3.5 Match Cards, 40% Cards: Casa Pia avg 2.2/game, Benfica avg 1.0/game → expected 3.2 match cards
- Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 66% Fouls: Casa Pia avg 15.8/game, Benfica avg 11.0/game → expected 26.8 match fouls
- Over 26.5 Match Shots, 50% Shots: Casa Pia avg 8.2/game, Benfica avg 18.5/game → expected 26.7 match shots
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.
View our full verified track record → | Full match preview →
What the market itself rates likely
Taken from bookmaker prices with the margin still inside. These are the bookmakers' own numbers, not our model, and no record of ours stands behind them. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live bookie prices
- Under 3.5 goals 69% best 1.52 Pinnacle
- Armindo Bruma 1+ shots on target 85% best 1.18 Bet365
- Over 7.5 corners Smart 85% best 1.25 Betano
- Tiago Gouveia 1+ shots on target 85% best 1.18 Bet365
- Dodi Lukebakio 1+ shots on target 82% best 1.22 Bet365
Combined 3.23 · £5 returns £16.14
Best prices can sit at different bookmakers, so the combined figure is a guide, not a quote you can take as one slip. Legs from the same game also move together, which flatters a combined price.
Market singles
- Cassiano Dias 1+ shots 85% best 1.18 Bet365
- Vangelis Pavlidis 3+ shots 85% best 1.18 Bet365
- Armindo Bruma 1+ shots on target 85% best 1.18 Bet365
- Tiago Gouveia 1+ shots on target 85% best 1.18 Bet365
- Over 7.5 corners 85% best 1.25 Betano
- Benfica to win 84% best 1.25 Betano
- Benfica over 4.5 corners 83% best 1.20 Betano
- Benfica under 3.5 goals 83% best 1.26 Betano
- Under 13.5 corners 83% best 1.21 Unibet
- Under 2.5 second half goals 82% best 1.30 Betano
- Under 4 goals 82% best 1.22 Marathon Bet
- Casa Pia over 1.5 corners 82% best 1.26 Unibet