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A test of nerve as much as quality when York welcome Crawley Town.
A EFL Cup fixture between York and Crawley Town. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. York will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Crawley Town travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickYork to win at @1.67. Model probability 55% vs implied 60%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
This league is new to our model. We have not yet built a verified record here, so treat this as an early read while we track it.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. York average 1.4 goals per game and Crawley Town manage 1.0. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 60% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | York Win | @1.67 | 55.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.80 | 24.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Crawley Town Win | @4.75 | 20.5% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.75 | 51.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.95 | 48.9% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.73 | 59.6% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.12 | 40.4% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.22 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.10 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.44 | - | Bet365 |
The bookmakers make York the favourite here. This league is new to our model, so we show the odds and an early read rather than a rated pick until we have built a verified record.
Best available odds: York @ 1.67, Draw @ 3.80, Crawley Town @ 4.75. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
York vs Crawley Town kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 19:30 in the EFL Cup.