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Too close to call on the numbers. West Ham 0%, Charlton 0%, the draw live at 0%.
West Ham have lost three of their last five; Charlton have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Championship tie.
A razor-thin margin: West Ham at 0%, but the draw sits at 0%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
West Ham create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Charlton create 1.2 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.4. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
West Ham average 1.3 goals per game and Charlton manage 1.6. Combined that's just 2.9. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 58% of West Ham's home games and 57% of Charlton's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | West Ham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Charlton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
West Ham vs Charlton kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.