Valerenga vs Ham-Kam Predictions & Odds
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The key duel: Ham-Kam's attack against Valerenga's back line.
Valerenga take on Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Valerenga will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Ham-Kam travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Valerenga's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. A concern for Ham-Kam: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Valerenga create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 2.0), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. Ham-Kam create 1.5 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of 0.0. On the quality of chances, Ham-Kam look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Ham-Kam's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Valerenga average 1.6 goals per game and Ham-Kam manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Ham-Kam prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Valerenga against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Valerenga Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Ham-Kam Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Valerenga vs Ham-Kam kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 18:00 in the Eliteserien.