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All eyes on Fredrikstad as Sandefjord travel to face Fredrikstad.
Neck and neck in the Eliteserien standings. Fredrikstad (8th, 42 pts) host Sandefjord (5th, 48 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Fredrikstad will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Sandefjord travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Fredrikstad will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D4 L4 at home). Sandefjord's away record reads W4 D2 L9. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Sandefjord could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.8 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.5. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Fredrikstad create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Sandefjord create 1.5 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of 0.0. On the quality of chances, Sandefjord look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sandefjord are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.8 goals vs chance quality of 1.5). Both runs could cool off at once.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Fredrikstad average 1.3 goals per game and Sandefjord manage 1.8. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Sandefjord have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.4 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Fredrikstad Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Sandefjord Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Eliteserien.