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Spartans 45%, the draw 26%, Elgin City 28%. That's the shape of this one.
The bookmakers open Spartans at @2.05 for this Scottish League Two tie, with Elgin City out at @3.40.
The goals side is finely balanced. We make it 53% for three or more. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Spartans Win | @2.05 | 45.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.20 | 26.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Elgin City Win | @3.40 | 28.4% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.67 | 50.5% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.10 | 49.5% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.85 | 52.8% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.00 | 47.2% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.10 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.37 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Spartans the favourite with a 45.3% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Spartans @ 2.05, Draw @ 3.20, Elgin City @ 3.40. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Spartans vs Elgin City kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Scottish League Two.