Sirius vs Malmo FF Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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There's barely anything between these two. Sirius (9th, 39 pts) and Malmo FF (6th, 49 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the Allsvenskan table.
Sirius will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D2 L6 at home). Malmo FF's away record reads W6 D6 L3. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Sirius's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Sirius have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.6 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 2.3. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sirius create chances worth 2.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +1.1 a game on the balance. Malmo FF create 1.6 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of +0.2. The underlying numbers clearly favour Sirius. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Sirius are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.6 a game over the last 5 vs 2.3 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Sirius average 1.8 goals per game and Malmo FF manage 1.5. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Sirius and Malmo FF together create chances worth 3.9 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Sirius are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.7 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Malmo FF, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sirius Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Malmo FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sirius vs Malmo FF kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 18:00 in the Allsvenskan.