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Form, fitness, fine margins. Rochdale and Crawley Town meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
A League Two fixture between Rochdale and Crawley Town. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Rochdale will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Crawley Town travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
A razor-thin margin: Rochdale at 0%, but the draw sits at 0%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Rochdale average 2.0 goals per game and Crawley Town manage 1.2. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 100% of Rochdale's home games and 35% of Crawley Town's away matches.
Rochdale are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Crawley Town, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Rochdale Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Crawley Town Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Rochdale vs Crawley Town kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 in the League Two.