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Three points on the line and a story to write. Rapid Vienna host Paide.
Rapid Vienna welcome Paide in the Europa Conference League. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
D. Luts has been Paide's main threat, with 1 goals and 0 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 0.20 shots on target per game.
Our PickRapid Vienna to win at @1.19. Model probability 71% vs implied 84%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Paide are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L1 from 2 away trips, scoring 1.5 per game on the road. Rapid Vienna (W2 D1 L3 at home) can't afford to take this lightly.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Rapid Vienna are scoring 1.4 a game (1.3 of those at home) and Paide manage 1.8 (1.5 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 66%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%.
Rapid Vienna need points desperately. Sitting 36th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
Paide have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (2.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Rapid Vienna Win | @1.19 | 71.0% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Draw | @6.66 | 17.3% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Paide Win | @19.00 | 11.7% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @2.02 | 52.6% | Betano |
| BTTS | No | @1.70 | 47.4% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.42 | 65.7% | Betano |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.75 | 34.3% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.13 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.40 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.02 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.78 | - | Betano |
Our model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite with a 71.0% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Rapid Vienna @ 1.19, Draw @ 6.66, Paide @ 19.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Rapid Vienna vs Paide kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 17:00 in the Europa Conference League.