Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Predictions & Odds
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Orgryte IS have lost their last two; Hammarby FF have taken 8 points from their last six. Form gives little away going into this Allsvenskan tie.
Orgryte IS will be looking to make home advantage count (W1 D0 L0 at home). Hammarby FF's away record reads W7 D4 L4. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Crucially, Orgryte IS are in strong home form while Hammarby FF are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap. One thing to keep in mind about Orgryte IS. They're scoring 1.5 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.2. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+1.8), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play. Hammarby FF could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Orgryte IS create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 2.6), leaving them -1.4 a game on the balance. Hammarby FF create 1.8 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.7. On the quality of chances, Hammarby FF look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Orgryte IS are scoring 1.5 goals a game off chances worth just 1.2. That's +1.8 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off. Hammarby FF are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
Orgryte IS average 1.5 goals per game and Hammarby FF manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF together create chances worth 3.0 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Hammarby FF have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Orgryte IS Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Hammarby FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Limited recent meetings (1), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 13:00 in the Allsvenskan.