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A test of nerve as much as quality when NSI Runavik welcome FC Lugano.
NSI Runavik take on FC Lugano in the Europa Conference League. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
M. Przybylski has been NSI Runavik's spearhead, with 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 appearances. Whoever leads FC Lugano's line will have a job on against that profile.
Our PickFC Lugano to win at @1.33. Model probability 69% vs implied 75%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
FC Lugano are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L0 from 1 away trips, scoring 4.0 per game on the road. NSI Runavik (W1 D0 L0 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. NSI Runavik average 2.0 per game and FC Lugano chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
Goals look likely here. NSI Runavik average 2.0 per game (4.0 at home) and FC Lugano chip in with 2.0 (4.0 away). Defensively, NSI Runavik concede 0.0 at home and FC Lugano leak 2.0 on the road. We make it 66% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
NSI Runavik are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at FC Lugano, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. FC Lugano have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (3.5 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | NSI Runavik Win | @9.25 | 12.3% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Draw | @5.45 | 19.2% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | FC Lugano Win | @1.33 | 68.5% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.72 | 48.4% | Betano |
| BTTS | No | @2.02 | 51.6% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.44 | 65.5% | Betano |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.67 | 34.5% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.14 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.20 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.05 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.75 | - | Betano |
Our model makes FC Lugano the favourite with a 68.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: NSI Runavik @ 9.25, Draw @ 5.45, FC Lugano @ 1.33. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:30 in the Europa Conference League.