Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Le Havre (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Le Havre have taken five points from their last four; Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Ligue 1 tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Le Havre create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Stade Brestois 29 create 1.1 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.6. The underlying numbers clearly favour Le Havre. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Le Havre are scoring 1.8 a game (1.8 of those at home) and Stade Brestois 29 manage 1.0 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 59% of Le Havre's home games and 47% of Stade Brestois 29's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%) and 2-1 (10%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Le Havre Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Stade Brestois 29 Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.