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A test of nerve as much as quality when Heart of Midlothian welcome Dundee Utd.
A Scottish Premiership meeting between Heart of Midlothian (1st, 70 pts) and Dundee Utd (7th, 40 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Heart of Midlothian will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Dundee Utd travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickHeart of Midlothian to win at @1.44. Model probability 58% vs implied 69%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
This league is new to our model. We have not yet built a verified record here, so treat this as an early read while we track it.
The travelling Dundee Utd fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. recent form reads W-L-W-W-L. That W-L-W-W-L away form is genuinely impressive. Heart of Midlothian have been wobbling (L-L-W-D-W) 2 losses in a row. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Heart of Midlothian will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Heart of Midlothian's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Heart of Midlothian are scoring 1.8 a game (1.9 of those at home) and Dundee Utd manage 1.3 (1.3 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 60%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
Heart of Midlothian are in great shape right now, banging in 1.8 a game and only letting in 0.9. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Heart of Midlothian Win | @1.44 | 58.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.20 | 20.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Dundee Utd Win | @6.00 | 17.7% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.75 | 47.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.95 | 52.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.67 | 59.6% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.20 | 40.4% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.20 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.62 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.50 | - | Bet365 |
The bookmakers make Heart of Midlothian the favourite here. This league is new to our model, so we show the odds and an early read rather than a rated pick until we have built a verified record.
Best available odds: Heart of Midlothian @ 1.44, Draw @ 4.20, Dundee Utd @ 6.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Scottish Premiership.