Derby vs Cardiff Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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0% against 0%: the model can barely split Derby and Cardiff.
Derby have lost their last two; Cardiff have won four of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Championship tie.
Marginal call: Derby at just 0%. With the draw at 0%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Derby, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
Derby average 1.4 goals per game and Cardiff manage 2.8. Combined that's just 4.2. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 65% of Derby's home games and 61% of Cardiff's away matches.
Cardiff have goals in them (2.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.7 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Derby Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Cardiff Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Derby vs Cardiff kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.