Burnley vs Middlesbrough Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Burnley (9th, 1 pts) host Middlesbrough (3rd, 3 pts) in the Championship. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Burnley average 2.0 per game and Middlesbrough chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Burnley create chances worth 0.9 a game (and give up chances worth 2.0), leaving them -1.1 a game on the balance. Middlesbrough create 2.0 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, Middlesbrough look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Goals look likely here. Burnley average 2.0 per game (2.0 at home) and Middlesbrough chip in with 2.0 (2.0 away). Defensively, Burnley concede 2.0 at home and Middlesbrough leak 1.0 on the road. We make it 64% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%.
Both teams score in 42% of Burnley's home games and 65% of Middlesbrough's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Burnley are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Middlesbrough, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Middlesbrough have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Burnley Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Middlesbrough Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Burnley vs Middlesbrough kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 20:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 55.5% probability.