Blackburn vs Middlesbrough Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Too close to call on the numbers. Blackburn 0%, Middlesbrough 0%, the draw live at 0%.
Blackburn have taken 7 points from their last five; Middlesbrough have taken five points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Championship tie.
A razor-thin margin: Blackburn at 0%, but the draw sits at 0%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
Middlesbrough are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 2.0 against 1.5 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Blackburn create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Middlesbrough create 2.0 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, Middlesbrough look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Middlesbrough are creating chances worth 2.0 a game but only finishing 1.5. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Blackburn average 1.2 goals per game and Middlesbrough manage 1.5. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%). Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Blackburn and Middlesbrough together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 57% of Blackburn's home games and 65% of Middlesbrough's away matches.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Blackburn Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Middlesbrough Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.