AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF Predictions & Odds
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A Allsvenskan meeting between AIK Stockholm (7th, 48 pts) and Hammarby FF (2nd, 62 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
AIK Stockholm will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D6 L2 at home). Hammarby FF's away record reads W7 D4 L4. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Hammarby FF could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
AIK Stockholm create chances worth 1.4 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Hammarby FF create 1.8 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.7. On the quality of chances, Hammarby FF look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Hammarby FF are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
AIK Stockholm average 1.3 goals per game and Hammarby FF manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. AIK Stockholm and Hammarby FF together create chances worth 3.3 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Hammarby FF have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | AIK Stockholm Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Hammarby FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:00 in the Allsvenskan.