Get the model's verified verdict on FC Nordsjaelland (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
FC Nordsjaelland know what's at stake, and so do Valur Reykjavik.
FC Nordsjaelland take on Valur Reykjavik in the Europa Conference League. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. FC Nordsjaelland will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Valur Reykjavik travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickFC Nordsjaelland to win at @1.11. Model probability 74% vs implied 90%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. FC Nordsjaelland average 0.0 goals per game and Valur Reykjavik manage 1.8. Combined that's just 1.8. We make it only 76% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 44%.
FC Nordsjaelland do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Valur Reykjavik have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | FC Nordsjaelland Win | @1.11 | 74.2% | Bet365 |
| Match Result | Draw | @9.00 | 14.8% | Bet365 |
| Match Result | Valur Reykjavik Win | @17.00 | 11.0% | Bet365 |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.91 | 43.5% | Bet365 |
| BTTS | No | @1.80 | 56.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.25 | 75.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @3.75 | 24.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.06 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @8.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @1.62 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @2.20 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes FC Nordsjaelland the favourite with a 74.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: FC Nordsjaelland @ 1.11, Draw @ 9.00, Valur Reykjavik @ 17.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:00 in the Europa Conference League.