Get the model's verified verdict on Valerenga (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Form, fitness, fine margins. Valerenga and Bodo/Glimt meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
A Eliteserien fixture between Valerenga and Bodo/Glimt. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
L. Haren has been Valerenga's spearhead, with 6 goals and 1 assists in 14 appearances, averaging 0.64 shots on target per game. O. Didrik Blomberg has been Bodo/Glimt's main threat, with 4 goals and 4 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.75 shots on target per game.
Our PickBodo/Glimt to win at @1.44. Model probability 61% vs implied 69%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Valerenga's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Valerenga create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 2.0), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. Bodo/Glimt create 2.9 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +1.8. On the quality of chances, Bodo/Glimt look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Goals look likely here. Valerenga average 1.6 per game (2.0 at home) and Bodo/Glimt chip in with 2.6 (2.6 away). Defensively, Valerenga concede 1.3 at home and Bodo/Glimt leak 0.7 on the road. We make it 71% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 58%. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. Valerenga create chances worth 1.3 a game and Bodo/Glimt 2.9. Combined, that's 4.2 a game from open play alone.
Bodo/Glimt are similarly well-balanced. 2.6 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Valerenga Win | @5.50 | 15.8% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.60 | 21.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Bodo/Glimt Win | @1.44 | 60.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.44 | 58.0% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.60 | 42.0% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.36 | 71.2% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @3.24 | 28.8% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.10 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @7.03 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @1.83 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.96 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite with a 60.9% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Valerenga @ 5.50, Draw @ 4.60, Bodo/Glimt @ 1.44. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 13:00 in the Eliteserien.