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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Sandefjord know what's at stake, and so do KFUM Oslo.
Sandefjord (5th, 48 pts) host KFUM Oslo (12th, 35 pts) in the Eliteserien. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Sandefjord will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while KFUM Oslo travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Neither side arrives in vintage form. Sandefjord have gone L-L-L-D-L, KFUM Oslo's W-L-L-L-D reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve. One thing to keep in mind about Sandefjord. They're scoring 1.8 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.5. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.4), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play. KFUM Oslo are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.5 against 1.4 actual goals). They look due a few more. Sandefjord have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.5. They're creating more as the season goes on. A concern for KFUM Oslo: they're giving up chances worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 (vs 0.9 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sandefjord create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. KFUM Oslo create 1.5 (giving up 0.9) for a balance of +0.6. On the quality of chances, KFUM Oslo look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sandefjord are scoring 1.8 goals a game off chances worth just 1.5. That's +0.4 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off. KFUM Oslo are creating chances worth 1.5 a game but only finishing 1.4. the underlying performance is better than the results show. Sandefjord are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.9 a game over the last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove. KFUM Oslo's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 vs 0.9 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Sandefjord are scoring 1.8 a game (2.1 of those at home) and KFUM Oslo manage 1.4 (1.1 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 59%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 54%.
Sandefjord are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at KFUM Oslo, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sandefjord Win | @2.05 | 45.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.30 | 25.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | KFUM Oslo Win | @3.30 | 28.5% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.62 | 54.2% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.20 | 45.8% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.70 | 59.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.16 | 40.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.22 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.35 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.45 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Sandefjord the favourite with a 45.9% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Sandefjord @ 2.05, Draw @ 3.30, KFUM Oslo @ 3.30. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 18:00 in the Eliteserien.