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Form, fitness, fine margins. Hammarby FF and Raków Częstochowa meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Hammarby FF welcome Raków Częstochowa in the Europa Conference League. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
P. Abraham has been Hammarby FF's spearhead, with 8 goals and 3 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 1.33 shots on target per game. Whoever leads Raków Częstochowa's line will have a job on against that profile.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Hammarby FF average 0.5 goals per game and Raków Częstochowa manage 0.0. Combined that's just 0.5. We make it only 50% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 49%.
Hammarby FF do it the hard way: only 0.5 a game up top, but a mean 0.5 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Raków Częstochowa prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Hammarby FF against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Hammarby FF Win | @2.33 | 37.5% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.42 | 26.4% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Raków Częstochowa Win | @3.12 | 36.1% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.70 | 49.0% | Betano |
| BTTS | No | @2.05 | 51.0% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.88 | 50.0% | Betano |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.88 | 50.0% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.29 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.35 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.05 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.34 | - | Betano |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Hammarby FF the favourite with a 37.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Hammarby FF @ 2.33, Draw @ 3.42, Raków Częstochowa @ 3.12. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:00 in the Europa Conference League.