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Three points on the line and a story to write. Rapid Vienna host Paide.
A Europa Conference League fixture between Rapid Vienna and Paide. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
D. Luts has been Paide's main threat, with 1 goals and 0 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 0.20 shots on target per game.
Our PickRapid Vienna to win at @1.11. Model probability 71% vs implied 90%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Paide are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L1 from 2 away trips, scoring 1.5 per game on the road. Rapid Vienna (W2 D1 L3 at home) can't afford to take this lightly.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Rapid Vienna are scoring 1.4 a game (1.3 of those at home) and Paide manage 1.8 (1.5 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 70%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 47%.
Rapid Vienna need points desperately. Sitting 36th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
Paide have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (2.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Rapid Vienna Win | @1.11 | 70.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @8.00 | 15.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Paide Win | @29.00 | 13.4% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @2.30 | 47.4% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.55 | 52.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.40 | 69.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @3.00 | 30.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.11 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @7.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @1.91 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.83 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite with a 70.7% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Rapid Vienna @ 1.11, Draw @ 8.00, Paide @ 29.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Rapid Vienna vs Paide kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 17:00 in the Europa Conference League.