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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
A test of nerve as much as quality when Kristiansund BK welcome Molde.
A Eliteserien clash between two sides separated by just 3 places in the table. Kristiansund BK (13th, 34 pts) and Molde (10th, 39 pts) both have plenty to play for.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Kristiansund BK will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Molde travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickMolde to win at @1.73. Model probability 56% vs implied 58%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
The travelling Molde fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. recent form reads D-W-L-D-W. That D-W-L-D-W away form is genuinely impressive. Kristiansund BK have been wobbling (L-L-D-L-L) 2 losses in a row. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Kristiansund BK will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Kristiansund BK create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 2.1), leaving them -0.8 a game on the balance. Molde create 2.0 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of +0.6. On the quality of chances, Molde look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Kristiansund BK are scoring 1.2 a game (1.3 of those at home) and Molde manage 1.5 (1.1 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 63%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 55%. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. Kristiansund BK create chances worth 1.3 a game and Molde 2.0. Combined, that's 3.3 a game from open play alone.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Kristiansund BK Win | @4.00 | 18.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.80 | 23.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Molde Win | @1.73 | 55.5% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.55 | 54.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.30 | 45.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.57 | 62.8% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.41 | 37.2% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.17 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.09 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.38 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.59 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Molde the favourite with a 55.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Kristiansund BK @ 4.00, Draw @ 3.80, Molde @ 1.73. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Kristiansund BK vs Molde kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 18:15 in the Eliteserien.