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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
The key duel: Malmo FF's attack against Degerfors IF's back line.
A quality mismatch? Malmo FF (6th, 49 pts) entertain Degerfors IF (13th, 30 pts). The table positions tell a clear story, but football has a habit of humbling the favourites.
E. Botheim has been Malmo FF's spearhead, with 10 goals and 3 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game. Arman Taranis has been Degerfors IF's main threat, with 2 goals and 0 assists in 12 appearances, averaging 0.50 shots on target per game.
Our PickMalmo FF to win at @1.50. Model probability 60% vs implied 67%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Malmo FF supporters have every reason to fancy this one. Their side is flying. recent form reads W-L-D-W-W. That W-L-D-W-W run is the kind of form you dream about heading into a game like this. It's been tougher going for Degerfors IF lately (L-L-L-L-L), 5 losses in a row. but their fans know football rarely reads the script. One good start, one moment of quality, and Degerfors IF are right back in it. On paper it's Malmo FF's to lose, and that pressure cuts both ways.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Malmo FF create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. Degerfors IF create 1.2 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Malmo FF are scoring 1.5 a game (1.5 of those at home) and Degerfors IF manage 1.1 (1.7 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 63%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 50%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Malmo FF Win | @1.50 | 59.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.00 | 22.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Degerfors IF Win | @5.50 | 14.5% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.73 | 49.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.00 | 50.1% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.62 | 62.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.25 | 37.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.18 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.50 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Malmo FF the favourite with a 59.6% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Malmo FF @ 1.50, Draw @ 4.00, Degerfors IF @ 5.50. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:00 in the Allsvenskan.