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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
The key duel: Rosenborg's attack against Lillestrom's back line.
A Eliteserien fixture between Lillestrom and Rosenborg. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Lillestrom will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Rosenborg travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.62. Model probability 62% vs implied 62%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Lillestrom are scoring 1.4 a game (1.4 of those at home) and Rosenborg manage 1.5 (1.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 62%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Lillestrom Win | @2.30 | 35.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.30 | 23.1% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Rosenborg Win | @2.75 | 39.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.55 | 56.4% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.30 | 43.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.62 | 61.8% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.35 | 38.2% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.18 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.88 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.55 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Rosenborg the favourite with a 39.6% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Lillestrom @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.30, Rosenborg @ 2.75. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 in the Eliteserien.