Get the model's verified verdict on Mjallby AIF (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
A test of nerve as much as quality when Mjallby AIF welcome IF Elfsborg.
Mjallby AIF (1st, 75 pts) host IF Elfsborg (8th, 40 pts) in the Allsvenskan. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Mjallby AIF will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while IF Elfsborg travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Neither side arrives in vintage form. Mjallby AIF have gone L-D-L-D-D, IF Elfsborg's W-L-L-L-D reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve. Mjallby AIF have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.5 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.9. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Mjallby AIF create chances worth 1.9 a game (and give up chances worth 0.9), leaving them +0.9 a game on the balance. IF Elfsborg create 1.3 (giving up 1.9) for a balance of -0.6. The underlying numbers clearly favour Mjallby AIF. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Mjallby AIF are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.5 a game over the last 5 vs 1.9 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Mjallby AIF are scoring 1.9 a game (1.7 of those at home) and IF Elfsborg manage 1.5 (0.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 50%.
Mjallby AIF are in great shape right now, banging in 1.9 a game and only letting in 0.6. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Mjallby AIF Win | @2.20 | 45.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.10 | 25.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | IF Elfsborg Win | @3.10 | 28.5% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.67 | 50.2% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.10 | 49.8% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.90 | 50.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.95 | 49.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.28 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.68 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.35 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite with a 45.7% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Mjallby AIF @ 2.20, Draw @ 3.10, IF Elfsborg @ 3.10. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 16:30 in the Allsvenskan.