New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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All eyes on New England Revolution as Houston Dynamo travel to face New England Revolution.
A MLS fixture between New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. New England Revolution will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Houston Dynamo travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. New England Revolution come in on a D-W-D-L-W run, Houston Dynamo have gone W-W-D-D-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. New England Revolution's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
New England Revolution create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Houston Dynamo create 1.4 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. A worry for New England Revolution: the chances they're creating lately are worth 0.8 a game, well below their 1.2 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. New England Revolution average 1.3 goals per game and Houston Dynamo manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Houston Dynamo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 21:30 in the MLS.