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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Halmstad have drawn a blank in 43% of their games this season. Orgryte IS's defence will fancy that.
Orgryte IS have lost their last two; Halmstad have lost three in a row. Neither side arrives in rhythm for this Allsvenskan tie.
N. Christoffersson has been Orgryte IS's spearhead, with 8 goals and 0 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game. O. Faraj has been Halmstad's main threat, with 3 goals and 0 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.71 shots on target per game.
Orgryte IS will be looking to make home advantage count (W1 D0 L0 at home). Halmstad's away record reads W5 D2 L8. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Crucially, Orgryte IS are in strong home form while Halmstad are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap. One thing to keep in mind about Orgryte IS. They're scoring 1.5 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.2. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+1.8), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play. Halmstad are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.5 against 0.8 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Orgryte IS create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 2.6), leaving them -1.4 a game on the balance. Halmstad create 1.5 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.2. On the quality of chances, Halmstad look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Orgryte IS are scoring 1.5 goals a game off chances worth just 1.2. That's +1.8 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off. Halmstad are creating chances worth 1.5 a game but only finishing 0.8. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Orgryte IS average 1.5 goals per game and Halmstad manage 0.8. Combined that's just 2.3. Even so, we make it 59% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 55%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Orgryte IS Win | @1.95 | 47.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.60 | 24.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Halmstad Win | @3.25 | 27.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.57 | 54.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.25 | 45.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.65 | 58.9% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.25 | 41.1% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.18 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.62 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.48 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Orgryte IS the favourite with a 47.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Orgryte IS @ 1.95, Draw @ 3.60, Halmstad @ 3.25. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 in the Allsvenskan.