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In-form Utrecht travel to Groningen knowing momentum is on their side.
There's barely anything between these two. Groningen (9th, 48 pts) and Utrecht (6th, 53 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the Eredivisie table.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Groningen will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Utrecht travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Groningen will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D4 L6 at home). Utrecht's away record reads W5 D5 L8. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Groningen are scoring 1.4 a game (1.6 of those at home) and Utrecht manage 1.6 (1.4 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Groningen Win | @2.30 | 35.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.25 | 23.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Utrecht Win | @2.88 | 38.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.62 | 52.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.20 | 47.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.75 | 52.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.10 | 48.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.22 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.10 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.44 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Utrecht the favourite with a 38.8% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Groningen @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.25, Utrecht @ 2.88. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Groningen vs Utrecht kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 in the Eredivisie.