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The key duel: Fredrikstad's attack against Start's back line.
A Eliteserien fixture between Start and Fredrikstad. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Start will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Fredrikstad travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Start average 1.1 goals per game and Fredrikstad manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 54% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Start Win | @2.20 | 36.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.20 | 23.8% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Fredrikstad Win | @3.00 | 37.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.62 | 52.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.20 | 47.9% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.73 | 53.9% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.08 | 46.1% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.22 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.06 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.42 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Fredrikstad the favourite with a 37.6% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Start @ 2.20, Draw @ 3.20, Fredrikstad @ 3.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Start vs Fredrikstad kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 in the Eliteserien.