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Three points on the line and a story to write. PSV Eindhoven host Fortuna Sittard.
PSV Eindhoven (1st, 84 pts) host Fortuna Sittard (11th, 39 pts) in the Eredivisie. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. PSV Eindhoven will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Fortuna Sittard travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickPSV Eindhoven to win at @1.20. Model probability 71% vs implied 83%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
PSV Eindhoven's home record this season is formidable. W13 D2 L2 from 17, scoring 3.4 goals per game at home. Fortuna Sittard, by contrast, have struggled on the road (W4 D2 L11 from 17 away). That imbalance is hard to ignore.
Goals look likely here. PSV Eindhoven average 3.0 per game (3.4 at home) and Fortuna Sittard chip in with 1.4 (1.2 away). Defensively, PSV Eindhoven concede 1.5 at home and Fortuna Sittard leak 2.0 on the road. We make it 80% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%.
PSV Eindhoven are all-out attack: 3.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.3 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Fortuna Sittard, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | PSV Eindhoven Win | @1.20 | 71.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @6.50 | 15.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Fortuna Sittard Win | @9.50 | 10.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.53 | 55.7% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.38 | 44.3% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.22 | 80.1% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @4.70 | 19.9% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.06 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @11.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @1.57 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @2.55 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite with a 71.3% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: PSV Eindhoven @ 1.20, Draw @ 6.50, Fortuna Sittard @ 9.50. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 in the Eredivisie.