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Form, fitness, fine margins. Groningen and FC Utrecht meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Groningen welcome FC Utrecht in the Eredivisie. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Groningen will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while FC Utrecht travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Groningen are scoring 1.4 a game (1.6 of those at home) and FC Utrecht manage 2.0 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 53%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line.
FC Utrecht have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.4 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Groningen Win | @2.30 | 35.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.25 | 23.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | FC Utrecht Win | @2.88 | 40.0% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.75 | 53.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.95 | 46.6% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes FC Utrecht the favourite with a 40.0% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Groningen @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.25, FC Utrecht @ 2.88. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Groningen vs FC Utrecht kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 in the Eredivisie.