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Heerenveen know what's at stake, and so do FC Twente Enschede.
Heerenveen take on FC Twente Enschede in the Eredivisie. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Heerenveen will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while FC Twente Enschede travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.44. Model probability 66% vs implied 69%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Goals look likely here. Heerenveen average 1.7 per game (1.9 at home) and FC Twente Enschede chip in with 2.0 (2.0 away). Defensively, Heerenveen concede 1.4 at home and FC Twente Enschede leak 1.8 on the road. We make it 66% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today.
FC Twente Enschede have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Heerenveen Win | @3.00 | 25.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.60 | 24.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | FC Twente Enschede Win | @2.10 | 48.3% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.44 | 65.5% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.50 | 34.5% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes FC Twente Enschede the favourite with a 48.3% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Heerenveen @ 3.00, Draw @ 3.60, FC Twente Enschede @ 2.10. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Heerenveen vs FC Twente Enschede kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:45 in the Eredivisie.