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Three points on the line and a story to write. Plymouth host Exeter City.
Plymouth take on Exeter City in the EFL Cup. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Plymouth will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Exeter City travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Plymouth average 2.3 per game and Exeter City chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Plymouth average 2.3 goals per game and Exeter City manage 2.0. Combined that's just 4.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Plymouth are all-out attack: 2.3 goals a game, but they leak 1.2 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Exeter City, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Exeter City have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.6 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Plymouth Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Exeter City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Plymouth vs Exeter City kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 20:00 in the EFL Cup.