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In-form Excelsior travel to Cambuur knowing momentum is on their side.
A Eredivisie fixture between Cambuur and Excelsior. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Cambuur will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Excelsior travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.62. Model probability 61% vs implied 62%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
This league is new to our model. We have not yet built a verified record here, so treat this as an early read while we track it.
Excelsior have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Cambuur average 0.0 goals per game and Excelsior manage 1.3. Combined that's just 1.3. We make it only 61% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 57%.
Cambuur do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Cambuur Win | @2.50 | 29.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.40 | 24.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Excelsior Win | @2.50 | 43.7% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.50 | 56.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.40 | 43.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.62 | 60.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.30 | 39.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.18 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.80 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.53 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
The bookmakers make Excelsior the favourite here. This league is new to our model, so we show the odds and an early read rather than a rated pick until we have built a verified record.
Best available odds: Cambuur @ 2.50, Draw @ 3.40, Excelsior @ 2.50. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Cambuur vs Excelsior kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:00 in the Eredivisie.