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Three points on the line and a story to write. Benfica host Academico Viseu.
Benfica take on Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Benfica will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Academico Viseu travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickBenfica to win at @1.11. Model probability 73% vs implied 90%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Benfica average 2.2 goals per game and Academico Viseu manage 0.0. Combined that's just 2.2. We make it only 67% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 42%.
Benfica are in great shape right now, banging in 2.2 a game and only letting in 0.7. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back. Academico Viseu prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Benfica against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Benfica Win | @1.11 | 72.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @9.00 | 12.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Academico Viseu Win | @21.00 | 13.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @2.45 | 41.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.50 | 58.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.44 | 67.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.77 | 33.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.12 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @6.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.10 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.76 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Benfica the favourite with a 72.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Benfica @ 1.11, Draw @ 9.00, Academico Viseu @ 21.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Benfica vs Academico Viseu kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:30 in the Primeira Liga.