A test of nerve as much as quality when Spain welcome Belgium.
Spain welcome Belgium in the FIFA World Cup. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Spain will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Belgium travel with the same brief — find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Too close to call with any conviction. Spain edge it at 0% but a draw (0%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with. Predicted scoreline: 1-1.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Spain average 1.8 goals per game and Belgium manage 2.6. Combined that's just 4.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Spain are in great shape right now — banging in 1.8 a game and only letting in 0.0. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back. Belgium have goals in them (2.6 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Spain Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Belgium Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up — check back closer to kick-off.
Spain vs Belgium kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 20:00 in the FIFA World Cup.